Venezuela
“It doesn’t matter at all how you hit,
it matters what kind of punch you hold,
how you move forward. You decide
to go – GO! Unless you decide to
swerve out of fear… It’s the only
way to win!” (c)
Rocky Balboa
Wagner PMC’s punishers are most likely present in Venezuela. Many days after the strangled “Revolution of Changes 2020”, I have often thought about how things would have turned out if the belarusians had listened to the left wing of their DemFronda and would have entered into a violent resistance with the regime’s security forces. From now on, we know for sure, without any “buts” and “if onlys”: if the BelFronde had started a violent resistance, the country would have actually started a war with the occupation regime of the Lugabe Junta. The Kremlin would not stop at sending to Belarus its OMON, which also most likely(!) helped the belarusian OMON to commit atrocities against peaceful protesters, but would also send its punitive killers from PMC Wagner.
Nowadays the belarusian government in exile, led by Tikhanovskaya’s Headquarters, the Coordination Council, the BNR Rada and the Belarusian Army named after Kastus Kalinouski, needs to be firmly aware of what exactly they will face if they are given a historical “overtron window” to liberate Belarus from the oppression of the dictatorship of the Junta Lugabe, so as not to entertain false illusions and have the most sober picture in front of their eyes.
The news that Wagner PMCs are present in Venezuela, also confirms the statements in the ukrainian mass-media, about this fact from the leader Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
The venezuelan protesters have no choice but to create right now, in real time, THEIR own brigades of armed resistance, their own military headquarters, led by a united democratic coalition of anti-regime, political dissidents, i.e. the venezuelan government in exile; by the Venezuelan government in exile; not starting to do this these days means betraying the will and voice of the people, dooming them to further torment under the social-dictatorship of the Maduro Junta.
The democratic world MUST NOW also SUPPORT the Venezuelan DemFronda in word and deed, otherwise they will be left alone with the bloody Maduro Junta, backed by the money and punishers of Chernosotniks Russia.
Georgia & Armenia
“I can be knocked down, but I will still get up and fight back!” (с)
Arturo Gatti.
One of the main questions for democrats in the post-soviet space is what we can all expect this fall from the parliamentary elections in Georgia. Why? Because how they end will determine how we can more accurately classify the regime in Georgia. My personal assessment of the Georgian political regime today is that it is a strengthened liberal-authoritarianism, similar to what existed in Russia in the ’00s or in Ukraine during Yanukovych’s rule. I consider it can be overthrown, but it will definitely not be “flower protests”, but a real democratic revolution, much like the EuroMaidan, and , and possibly even harsher. In general, here I would like to directly and clearly indicate the fact that the era of “velvet revolutions” is now finally over in the world, strangled in blood by the belarusian “Revolution of Change 2020”, when the whole world saw that one junta has power, weapons and armed forces loyal to it punishers, is capable of grinding an entire people into dust, subordinating THEIR will to the will of HER own. As a matter of fact, right now, the Venezuelan Junta is trying to repeat the same thing that Lugabe’s Junta did in 2020, but there is a nuance – the Venezuelan DemFronda has taken the path of violent resistance and everything will obviously go further than molotov-cocktails, thus, the Venezuelans unwittingly also open a new era for the democratic world: the era of violent democratic revolutions, which returns to us boomerang from the XVIII, XIX and XX centuries.
– The Ivanishvili clan are Kremlin collaborators and traitors to an independent, democratic Georgia, they should be sentenced to death by firing squad for treason. Misha [Saakashvili] must be released and I don’t know what my people are waiting for.
– It’s clear that they are traitors, but aren’t you overdoing it, my friend Dato? Firing squad is too much in my opinion… – I answered him in confusion.
– No. These people deserve nothing else. – a siberian georgian named Dato, whose relatives left Georgia during the time of Shevardnadze and settled in one of the cities beyond the Ural Mountains, answered me dryly and sternly.We left the smoky bar outside, leaving a couple of dark pints on the table, the siberian frost instantly burned our faces. Neither he nor I had ever smoked. We just got out of the basement to breathe fresh siberian air into our chests. While we were walking, I deliberately delved into the topic of Saakashvili… Dato told me something… I stood drunk and looked at such a rare and unexpectedly red moon, mayakovsky’s “Left March” was spinning in my head. “Cover the sky with flags… Who’s stepping to the right?! Left! Left! Left!”, mixed with them, the lines “Nichego Khoroshego” also crept into my head։ “We are the generation of perestroika, will show the character of the nօvostrojka!” I looked at the moon and thought about what Dato had told me, he was the first and perhaps the only liberal in my life who was SO RESOLUTELY opposed to the chernosotniks policy of the Kremlin, neither before nor after, I have not met any other people like him, among his liberal-brethren… A patriot of democratic Georgia and Russia…. It was amazing to listen to him, to me, a man who despised and hated Russia from the very cradle, for its unbending and unmodifiable, centuries-old barbarism…. It was 2021, Navalny had just been imprisoned… Dato’s judgments about Georgia and Ivanishvili Goverment seemed quite radical even for me, anti-racist&anti-fashist, multi-narodniks and revols-democrat… In those days Georgia seemed to all of us to be an indomitable beacon of Caucasian democracy … who would have thought who ….
Let’s return to Georgia again. To be honest, I very much do not like the mood of the Georgian democratic public, led by georgian liberals. Again, those fruitless hopes that autocracy could be overthrown through elections; we have seen all this more than once in Russia, since the mid-00s at the marches of dissenters, then at the Bolotnaya riot in 2012, and then in the broad post-bolotnaya democratic movement, which lasted all 10 years and ended in the landing -> poisoning of Alexei Navalny in 2021-2024; as a result, the Kremlin dictatorship has gone through three stages: liberal-authoritarian, conservative-authoritarian and ultra-conservative, near-totalitarian dictatorship of our days. Finally, we also observed this in Belarus, from the mid-90s until 2020, when the Belarusian DemFronda stubbornly believed in the success of the tactics of non-violent protest, over and over again, from decada to decada, suffering defeat from the regime of the Junta Lugabe, which, on the contrary, with each suppressed revolution, only became more powerful and dictatorial. Therefore, georgian democrats need to realize in a timely and decisive manner that the fall elections will most likely be rigged by the Ivanishvili clan. After that, georgian democrats have only one question left: “are we giving up or are we moving on?” I personally have no doubts about this, from the word at all, our caucasian-christian brothers and sisters will definitely choose to go further, and if so, then the Georgian DemFronda needs to be prepared for the following scenarios for the development of events THIS fall in Sakartvelo:
a) It is necessary to motivate the Georgian people to believe that it is time to break with the authoritarian power of the Ivanishvali Clan and to tear it extremely decisively, because the longer they are in power, the more difficult it will be to “uproot them” from there. It is simply impossible to give a more vivid example than Belarus here, when every year, Lugabe’s Junta only became stronger and went deeper into the political orbit of Chernosotniks Russia. It is time to end the power of the Ivanishvili Clan. Dot.
b) We cannot say for sure, but I personally have absolutely no doubt that the elections in Georgia will be rigged and the fate of Georgia itself will depend on how strongly the georgian people react to this fact. At the moment of falsification, the Georgian DemFronda should be ready to take people to the streets, to stay and not leave them, demanding nothing less than the resignation of PM Ivanishvili. If the current government does not leave peacefully, it will mean that it is time to start building its camp of democratic rebels, constantly expanding its territory. A DemFronda headquarters should be created, consisting of self-defense units and political dissidents. If the authorities decide to suppress the protests by force, then it is the georgian self-defense units that should take over the defense of the DemFronda’s camp.
c) In case Ivanishvili decides to take such a step as armed suppression of a potential Georgian revolution by the hands of PMC Wagner or the CSTO, the answer to this should be the formation of an army of self-defense, and the core here, in my personal opinion, should be soldiers from the “Georgian Legion”,who is fighting right now as part of the ZSU, and is wanted in Sakartvelo itself. It is THESE people who can become the core of a renewed democratic army of Georgia, and together with the self-defense units, lure the rest of the police, security forces, and military to their side.
d) It is necessary to achieve a split in the elites, as it happened at the EuroMaidan in Ukraine! In principle, the current President of Georgia, Madame Salome Zurabishvili, has ALREADY begun this process by vetoing the Kremlin’s law on foreign agents, which was so brazenly and vilely passed by the parliamentary majority party of “Georgian Dream”, this was the first signal to the georgian masses that not everyone in the georgian elites agrees with the course of the Ivanishvili Clan, but they are afraid to go across, because these people now have all the power concentrated in their hands; everyone is waiting for the STUBBORN indignation of the georgian masses and it must come up. The only question is how to do everything in such a way as to overthrow the current government and at the same time preserve the integrity of Georgia.
e) The Georgian DemFronda NOW needs to start forming pro-georgian abkhazians and south ossetians, and for this it is necessary to realize that Georgia should be a federal republic, where Abkhazia and South Ossetia have broad powers, following the example of Northern Ireland, Wales and Scotland as part of Great Britain. It is necessary that the pro-Georgian abkhazians and south ossetians begin to disperse the protest moods in Abkhazia and South Ossetia today, so that if a revolution begins in Georgia in the fall, and it should begin, in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, uprisings would also begin, these uprisings will not be doomed, because THERE people will know that the Georgian DemFronda will not abandon them and through its abkhazian and south ossetian branches will be able to carry out a liberation revolution in Abkhazia as well and in South Ossetia.
f) A great responsibility for participation in a potential georgian democratic revolution already today falls on the armenians of Javakheti, as well as on all georgian armenians in general. It is time to clearly understand that authoritarian Georgia means a blockade for Armenia, and therefore compromises with dictatorial regimes, which we have no right to make under any circumstances. Armenia today is a beacon of democracy in the South Caucasus and a LOT will also depend on the participation of armenians who have georgian citizenship in the fight of the Georgian DemFronda against the russianists government of the Ivanishvili Clan! Consider this a contribution to strengthening the christian-caucasian friendship of armenians and georgians, nothing less!
g) The Kremlin has always pitted and is pitting all its enemies against each other, it lives according to the principle of “divide and rule”. Georgians and Armenians today are the only two caucasian peoples who, for the most part, want to live under a strong democracy and have all the levers they need to build their future. The Kremlin and the azerooguzs Clan of Aliyevs will persistently pursue their policy of dividing us among themselves, so we MUST NOT fall for these provocations, on the contrary, it is necessary to unite into a single democratic fist and fight back the Kremlin’s chernosotniks dictatorship, pointing it to its place. Remember, our strength is in unity and solidarity!
United we stand, divided we fall!
Kamrad MJSW